pp. 1-22
The 2022 Elections: A Test of Democracy’s Resilience and the Referendum Theory of Midterms
Gary C. Jacobson discusses the 2022 midterm elections. He examines why Democrats lost far fewer House seats than standard referendum models predicted given high inflation and Joe Biden’s low approval ratings. He argues that Donald Trump’s meddling and the Court’s Dobbs decision reframed the vote choice in ways that energized Democrats, hardened partisan attitudes, and minimized defections even among those with negative opinions of Biden’s performance.
The 2024 Presidential and Congressional Elections: Small Wave, Seismic Effects, Gary C. Jacobson
The Dimensions, Origins, and Consequences of Belief in Donald Trump’s Big Lie, Gary C. Jacobson
The Presidential and Congressional Elections of 2020: A National Referendum on the Trump Presidency, Gary C. Jacobson
Extreme Referendum: Donald Trump and the 2018 Midterm Elections, Gary C. Jacobson
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